Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Feb 11 content

our definition of Greater China

who is right?

Why?

Business Implications OF THE POLITICAL SYSTEMS OF THE 3 ECONOMIES IN GREATER CHINA

THEN AND NOW: could be different, could be similar, depending on whether conditions and systems have changed much

IN 1987

$50 millon or more joint ventures – many approvals, including National People’s Congress

MAINLAND CHINA – COMMUNIST

TAIWAN – MIXED ECONOMY

HK – LAISSEZ FAIRE LOTS OF small and medium size companies – a British Colony

Perception in Taiwan – Mainland China is the place to go to make lots of money

In 2009

$50 millon or more joint ventures – many approvals, including National People’s Congress

The systems have not changed much; so business and investment climates have not changed much

MAINLAND CHINA – COMMUNIST

TAIWAN – MIXED ECONOMY

HK – LAISSEZ FAIRES LOTS OF small and medium size companies – now under the political control of Mainland China

Survey by the Democratic Progressive Party = 90% of Taiwan’s Chinese investors in Mainland China are not making profits.

BIG NEW SIMILARITY: ALL 3 ECONOMIES ARE IN SERIOUS RECESSION, JUST LIKE THE REST OF THE WORLD

Compare by examples the relative ease of doing business in the three economies of Greater China

Two cases in PRC – one, service jv, 5 years to complete negotiations; another 2 years before production can begin plus up front costs, etc.

Hong Kong – representative office for major us company – 4 hours to set up; same jv as second example in PRC – on the market in 6 weeks, no up front costs, no etc.

In Taiwan, large jv approved in weeks

THEN very different from Now

Then

the relative availability of business opportunities in these three economies in the short run and in the long run:

short run – roc, hk, prc

long run – prc, roc, hk, if ….

PRC pushing exports

Now

Short run – prc, roc, hk

Long run – prc, roc, hk

PRC really pushing exports

The proper names to use for the capital of "China" when you are in mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan: Beijing, Beijing, Beiping … why?

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